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The butterfly effect is the concept that small causes can have large effects. Initially, it was used with weather prediction but later the term became a metaphor used in and out of science. The name, coined by Edward Lorenz for the effect which had been known long before, is derived from the metaphorical example of the details of a hurricane (exact time of formation, exact path taken) being influenced by minor perturbations such as the flapping of the wings of a distant butterfly several weeks earlier. Lorenz discovered the effect when he observed that runs of his weather model with initial condition data that was rounded in a seemingly inconsequential manner would fail to reproduce the results of runs with the unrounded initial condition data. The butterfly effect is the concept that small causes can have large effects. Initially, it was used with weather prediction but later the term became a metaphor used.A very small change in initial conditions had created a significantly different outcome. The idea, that small causes may have large effects in general and in weather specifically, was used from Henri Poincar. Edward Lorenz's work placed the concept of instability of the atmosphere onto a quantitative base and linked the concept of instability to the properties of large classes of dynamic systems which are undergoing nonlinear dynamics and deterministic chaos. For example, the randomness of the outcomes of throwing dice depends on this characteristic to amplify small differences in initial conditions. Pierre Duhem discussed the possible general significance of this in 1. He entered the initial condition 0. The result was a completely different weather scenario. Efekt motyla / The Butterfly Effect (2004) PL.DVDRip.XviD-LTN / Lektor PL. Http:// quest.2009.dvdrip.xvid-walmart.part1.rar. 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I immediately suspected a weak vacuum tube or some other computer trouble, which was not uncommon, but before calling for service I decided to see just where the mistake had occurred, knowing that this could speed up the servicing process. Instead of a sudden break, I found that the new values at first repeated the old ones, but soon afterward differed by one and then several units in the last decimal place, and then began to differ in the next to the last place and then in the place before that. In fact, the differences more or less steadily doubled in size every four days or so, until all resemblance with the original output disappeared somewhere in the second month. This was enough to tell me what had happened: the numbers that I had typed in were not the exact original numbers, but were the rounded- off values that had appeared in the original printout. The initial round- off errors were the culprits; they were steadily amplifying until they dominated the solution. The controversy has not yet been settled, but the most recent evidence seems to favor the sea gulls. According to Lorenz, when he failed to provide a title for a talk he was to present at the 1. American Association for the Advancement of Science in 1. Philip Merilees concocted Does the flap of a butterfly? The butterfly does not power or directly create the tornado, but the term is intended to imply that the flap of the butterfly's wings can cause the tornado: in the sense that the flap of the wings is a part of the initial conditions; one set of conditions leads to a tornado while the other set of conditions doesn't. The flapping wing represents a small change in the initial condition of the system, which cascades to large- scale alterations of events (compare: domino effect). Had the butterfly not flapped its wings, the trajectory of the system might have been vastly different. This problem motivated the development of ensemble forecasting, in which a number of forecasts are made from perturbed initial conditions. They have the practical consequence of making complex systems, such as the weather, difficult to predict past a certain time range (approximately a week in the case of weather) since it is impossible to measure the starting atmospheric conditions completely accurately. A dynamical system displays sensitive dependence on initial conditions if points arbitrarily close together separate over time at an exponential rate. The definition is not topological, but essentially metrical. If M is the state space for the map ft. The definition does not require that all points from a neighborhood separate from the base point x, but it requires one positive Lyapunov exponent. The simplest mathematical framework exhibiting sensitive dependence on initial conditions is provided by a particular parametrization of the logistic map: xn+1=4xn(1. This solution equation clearly demonstrates the two key features of chaos . The climate scientists James Annan and William Connolley explain that chaos is important in the development of weather prediction methods; models are sensitive to initial conditions. They add the caveat: . So the direct impact of this phenomenon on weather prediction is often somewhat overstated. They investigate the level of sensitivity of quantum systems to small changes in their given Hamiltonians. They consider fidelity decay to be . Whereas Lorenz suggested correctly with his butterfly metaphor that predictability . But nature itself defies this expectation. The Restless Universe Applications of Gravitational N- Body Dynamics to Planetary Stellar and Galactic Systems. Retrieved January 6, 2. Philadelphia Inquirer. Chaos: Making a New Science. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. Bibcode: 1. 96. 3JAt. S.. 2. 0. 1. 30. L. Retrieved 3 June 2. Transactions of the New York Academy of Sciences. Retrieved 1 September 2. AP4. 2 .. and everything. Retrieved 3 August 2. Medium- range weather prediction: The European approach; The story of the European Centre for Medium- Range Weather Forecasts. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. Truth or Beauty: Science and the Quest for Order. New Haven: Yale University Press. A New Kind of Science. Bibcode: 1. 99. 3Ph. T.. 4. 6g. 3. 8H. Chaos in Classical and Quantum Mechanics. New York: Springer- Verlag. Notices of the American Mathematical Society. Bibcode: 1. 98. 9Phy. S.. 4. 0. 3. 35. B. Journal of Mathematical Physics. Bibcode: 1. 97. 1JMP.. G. Derivation of formulas. Bibcode: 1. 99. 2Ph. Rv. A. 4. 6. 1. 45. G. Physical Review Letters. Bibcode: 2. 00. 2Ph. Rv. L. 8. 9q. 04. K. Physical Review Letters. Bibcode: 2. 00. 4Ph. Rv. L. 9. 2q. 79. P. Quantum Theory: Concepts and Methods. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic. Journal of Chemical Physics. Bibcode: 2. 00. 4JCh. Ph. 1. 21. 3. 94. L. Retrieved 8 June 2. 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Access to health care in the United States: Caring for the uninsured (p. Chicago: American Medical Association. Bane, M. Welfare realities: From rhetoric to reform. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Bassuk, E. L., Browne, A., & Buckner, J. The characteristics and needs of sheltered homeless and low- income housed mothers. Journal of the American Medical Association, 2. Bassuk, E. L., Browne, A., & Buckner, J. Single mothers and welfare. Scientific American, 2. Baydar, N., & Brooks- Gunn, J. The www.welfare-to-work.com website introduces the self-assessment index website. These websites are about welfare recipient or client screening, testing and evaluating. Welfare-to-Work Programs. DOL Web Pages on This Topic; Laws and Regulations on This Topic; The Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration (ETA). Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity. It moved mothers and children from welfare to work. This digest examines community college welfare-to-work programs and the strategies employed to enhance program completion, job retention, and educational advancement.With the government's welfare-to-work programme in the spotlight, Channel 4 News looks at the schemes on offer for the unemployed. Effects of maternal employment and child- care arrangements on preschoolers' cognitive and behavioral outcomes. Developmental Psychology, 2. Bernstein, J. Growing poverty in a growing economy. Poverty & Race, 5(6), 1- 2, 1. Blank, R. Havemen (Eds.), The work alternative (pp. Washington, DC: Urban Institute Press. Bourdon, K. National prevalence and treatment of mental and addictive disorders. Sonnenschein (Eds.), Mental health: United States. Washington, DC: Center for Mental Health Services. Bowen, G. Child care as an economic incentive for the working poor. Families in Society, 7. Brooks, M. Work and welfare: Job histories, barriers to employment, and predictors of work among low- income single mothers. American Journal of Orthopsychiatry, 6. Burghardt, J., & Gordon, A. More jobs and higher pay: How an integrated program compares with traditional programs. New York: Rockefeller Foundation, Minority Female Single Parent Demonstration Project. Burke- Tatum, B. Setting aside welfare myths. Buchele (Eds.), Women, welfare and higher education (pp. Northampton, MA: Smith College. Butler, S., & Weatherley, R. Poor women at midlife and categories of neglect. Social Work, 3. 7, 5. Caughy, M. A., & Strobino, D. Day- care participation as a protective factor in the cognitive development of low- income children. Child Development, 6. Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. States poised to adopt new program quality indicators: Learning for earning. Washington, DC: Author. Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Bearing most of the burden: How deficit reduction during the 1. Congress concentrated on programs for the poor . Retrieved from the Internet: http: //www. Center for Reproductive Law and Policy. Removing barriers, improving choices: A case study in reproductive health services and managed care. New York: Author. Cherlin, A. Policy issues of child care. Chase- Lansdale & J. Brooks- Gunn (Eds.), Escape from poverty: What makes a difference for children? Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press. Chilman, C. Parental employment and child care trends: Some critical issues and suggested policies. Social Work, 3. 8, 4. Chilman, C. Public policies and families in financial trouble. Nunnally (Eds.), Employment and economic problems (pp. Newbury Park, CA: Sage. Clinton reaffirms commitment to education as a top priority. Domestic violence, AFDC receipt and welfare reform in Massachusetts. Boston: University of Massachusetts Center for Social Policy Research. Cloward, R. Mink (Ed.), Women and welfare reform. Washington, DC: Institute for Women's Policy Research. Danziger, S. K., & Danziger, S. Will welfare recipients find work when welfare ends? Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. Davis, M. The scope and application of the family violence option in the new welfare law. New York: NOW Legal Defense and Education Fund. De. Parle, J. Newest challenge for welfare: Helping the hard- core jobless. A1, A2. 8. Edelman, P., & Radin, B. Effective services for children and families: Lessons from the past and strategies for the future. Copple (Eds.), Effective services for young children: A report of a workshop (pp. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. Ehrenreich, B. The new right attack on welfare. Piven, The mean season: The attack on the welfare state (pp. New York: Pantheon Books. Feldberg, R. Comparable worth: Toward theory and practice in the United States. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Fink, B. Providing quality child day care in a comprehensive program for disadvantaged young mothers and their children. Child Welfare, 7. Frankel, A. Family day care in the United States. Families in Society, 7. Furnham, A. Why are the poor always with us? Explanations for poverty in Great Britain. British Journal of Social Psychology, 2. Gallup, G. Most important problem: Republican and Democratic parties. The Gallup Poll Public Opinion, p. F., Greenberg, J., & Zuckerman, B. Commentary: Welfare reform and children's health. Washington, DC: Center for Health Policy Research. Gittell, M., Gross, J., & Holdaway, J. Building human capital: The impact of post- secondary education on AFDC recipients in five states. New York: Howard Samuels Center, City University of New York. Gittell, M., Schehl, M., & Facri, C. From welfare to independence: The college option. New York: Ford Foundation. Gittell, M., Vandersall, K., Holdaway, J., & Newman, K. Creating social capital at CUNY: A comparison of higher education programs for AFDC recipients. New York: Howard Samuels Center, City University of New York. Golden, O. Poor children and welfare reform. Westport, CT: Auburn House. Goodgame, D. Welfare for the well- off. The devil is in the details. Washington, DC: Center for Law and Social Policy. Hagen, J. Implementing JOBS: The participants' perspective. Rockefeller Institute of Government, State University of New York. Hamilton, G., Brock, T., & Vargas, J. The JOBS evaluation: Early lessons from seven sites. New York: Manpower Development Research Corporation. Handler, J. The poverty of welfare reform. New Haven: Yale University Press. Haverman, R. The Clinton welfare plan: Will it end poverty as we know it? Madison, WI: Institute for Research on Poverty. Hernandez, D. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. Hustead, J. Women's health and managed care: Basic principles for federal legislation. Washington, DC: National Partnership for Women and Families. Institute for Women's Policy Research (1. Welfare to work: The job opportunities of AFDC recipients. Washington, DC: Author. Jessup, M. Coexisting mental illness and alcohol and other drug dependencies in pregnant and parenting women . Journal of Psychoactive Drugs, 2. Johnson, D. Enhancing the vocational prospects of low- income Hispanic mothers: Results of a family support program. Paper presented at the biennial meeting of the Society for Research in Child Development, Seattle, WA. Jones, R. Creative solutions needed for child care. Providence Journal- Bulletin, p. Entitlement in early care and education: A tale of two rights. Goffin (Eds.), Vision of entitlement: The care and education of America's children (pp. Albany: State University of New York Press, p. Kagan, S., & Shelley, A. The promise and problems of family support programs. Zigler (Eds.), America's family support programs: Perspectives and prospects (pp. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press. Kates, E. More than survival: Higher education for low income women. Washington, DC: Center for Women's Policies Studies. Katz, M. The undeserving poor: From the war on poverty to the war on welfare. New York: Pantheon Books. Kemp, A., Green, B. L., Hovanitz, C., & Rawlings, E. Incidence and correlates of post- traumatic stress disorder in battered women: Shelter and community samples. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 1. Kerlin, A. From welfare to work: Does it make sense? Journal of Sociology and Social Welfare, 2. Kisker, E. E., & Silverberg, M. Child care utilization by disadvantaged teenage mothers. Journal of Social Issues, 4. Koss, M. A., Browne, A., Fitzgerald, L., Keita, G. No safe haven: Male violence against women at home, at work, and in the community. Washington, DC: American Psychological Association. Legal Action Center. 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Donald, D., & Mc. Kinney, M. The VOICES project final report. Unpublished manuscript. Mc. Fate, K. Making welfare work: The principles of constructive welfare reform. Washington, DC: Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies. Mc. Grath, E., Keita, G. Women and depression: Risk factors and treatment issues. Washington, DC: American Psychological Association. Mc. Laughlin, M. Toward real welfare reform: Decoding race and myths. Dempson (Eds.), Removing risk from children: Shifting the paradigm (pp. Silver Spring, MD: Beckman House. Meyer, D. Economic well- being of women and children after AFDC. The La Follette Policy Report, 8(1), 1. Mueller, M., & Patton, M. Working with poor families: Lessons learned from practice. Sussman (Eds.), Exemplary social intervention programs for members and their families (pp. New York: Haworth Press. National Center for Health Statistics. Health: United States. Hyattsville, MD: Public Health Service. National Women's Law Center. Melich, The Republican war against women. Welcome to the Welfare- to- Work Web Site! What are CCSD's Head Start Programs? List of CCSD's Early Head Start and Head Start Centers. South Carolina Immunization Certificate. The Orange County Head Start and Early Head Start program began in 1997 as an Early Head Start program. North Carolina 27514. Tax/EITC Program; A Great Head Start; Did You Know? Choanoke Area Development of North Carolina Incorporated. Gastonia, North Carolina Head Start Programs Head Start Programs Home » North Carolina Head Start Programs » Gastonia Head Start Programs. Head Start Program for Rockingham County, North Carolina. Rockingham County Head Start is a federally funded comprehensive child development. North Carolina Head Start . Programs may also serve up to an additional 3. Poverty Guidelines, but below 1. Pregnant women may also be eligible for Early Head Start. Because many programs offer services to families that may qualify them under other local criteria, we strongly recommend you contact the program in your community for more information and guidance. South Carolina Head Start. Head Start is a Federal program that promotes the school readiness of children from birth to age five from low. University Of Tennessee Single Game Football Tickets 2012Download Free Software Programs Online12/7/2016 RAZORBACK TICKET CENTER CONTACT INFORMATION Address 1295 S. Razorback Road, Suite B Fayetteville, AR 72701-7870 Phone 800-982-4647 or 479-575-5151 Fax 479-575-8683. Berry Named To 4th Pro Bowl. VFL Eric Berry has earned a trip to the Pro Bowl for the fourth time in his career (2010, 2012, 2013, 2015). Berry has 61 tackles, two. The University of Maine. College of Natural Sciences, Forestry, and Agriculture. University of Tennessee sports coverage from GoVolsXtra and the Knoxville News Sentinel. 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